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Implications of El Mencho’s death highlights an important reality

February 24, 2026 · Andreas Olivo

Recent reporting by Reuters on the implications of El Mencho’s death highlights an important reality: cartel structures are rarely monolithic. Leadership removal can trigger fragmentation, but it can also produce rapid alliance shifts among semi-autonomous factions. Obsidian Group Analytics founder Carlos Olivo contributed perspective to the piece, noting that some CJNG elements could realign in the aftermath. Moments like this reinforce why understanding structure — not just personalities — matters in assessing organized crime risk.

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